If the United States bombs an underground uranium enrichment facility in Iran or kills the country’s supreme leader, it could kick off a more dangerous and unpredictable phase in the war.

Just ask Jimmy Carter, whose White House term was forever framed by the unsuccessful attempt to rescue hostages held by Iran in 1979. That led to his defeat in 1980 by Ronald Reagan. President Donald Trump no doubt is aware of history – and perhaps irony as well – as events in Iran are again front and center at a pivotal moment early in his second stint in the White House.

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Israel and Iran exchange fresh attacks a day after Tehran said it would not negotiate over its nuclear programme.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi says it would be “very, very dangerous for everyone” if the United States becomes actively involved in the war with Israel.

Donald Trump’s anti-war pledge tested as Israel’s attack on Iran splits Maga base Swamp Notes is produced by Henry Larson and Lauren Fedor. This week’s show was mixed by Kelly Garry. The FT’s acting co head of audio is Topher Forhecz.